In Modern Horizons 3 collector boosters (12 packs per box), you can expect about 0.311 textured cards per box - roughly 0.026 per pack. That works out to a 26.7% chance of pulling at least one textured card per box, or about 1 in 4 for your first hit. The chase end is often Ral, Monsoon Mage // Ral, Leyline Prodigy (about 1 in 33 for that specific printing).
Textured foil on mythic chase cards.
Per-printing expected pulls and odds of at least one per box.
| Card | Price | Expected / box | P(≥1) | 1 in N boxes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Ral, Monsoon Mage // Ral, Leyline Prodigy #471 · mythic | $73.86 | 0.031 | 3.1% | 1 in 33 |
Solitude #49 · mythic | $63.51 | 0.031 | 3.1% | 1 in 33 |
Tamiyo, Inquisitive Student // Tamiyo, Seasoned Scholar #469 · mythic | $62.80 | 0.031 | 3.1% | 1 in 33 |
Ajani, Nacatl Pariah // Ajani, Nacatl Avenger #468 · mythic | $47.99 | 0.031 | 3.1% | 1 in 33 |
Endurance #53 · mythic | $46.88 | 0.031 | 3.1% | 1 in 33 |
Subtlety #50 · mythic | $39.99 | 0.031 | 3.1% | 1 in 33 |
Sorin of House Markov // Sorin, Ravenous Neonate #470 · mythic | $33.63 | 0.031 | 3.1% | 1 in 33 |
Fury #52 · mythic | $22.91 | 0.031 | 3.1% | 1 in 33 |
Grief #51 · mythic | $20.00 | 0.031 | 3.1% | 1 in 33 |
Grist, Voracious Larva // Grist, the Plague Swarm #472 · mythic | $12.68 | 0.031 | 3.1% | 1 in 33 |