Textured pull rates
Textured foil on mythic chase cards. Across 8 collector booster products, the average expected rate is about 1.67 textured cards per box (81% chance of at least one per box, roughly 1 in 2).
Pull rates are computed from MTGJSON collector-booster collation (slot weights and pack configs). Treatment labels (Serialized, Surge foil, etc.) come from Scryfall. We dedupe chase cards duplicated into common showcase sheets and cap serialized-only slots at Wizards' published “<1% per pack” ceiling when multiple numbered cards share one slot. “1 in N boxes” uses a Poisson model: P(at least one per box) = 1 − e−expected. Full methodology.
By set
Click a set for card-level odds and top chase printings.
| Set | Expected / box | P(≥1 / box) | 1 in N boxes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marvel's Spider-ManSPM | 0.054 cards | 5.3% | 1 in 19 |
| Duskmourn: House of HorrorDSK | 0.120 cards | 11.3% | 1 in 9 |
| Assassin's CreedACR | 0.373 cards | 31.1% | 1 in 3 |
| Modern Horizons 3MH3 | 0.311 cards | 26.7% | 1 in 4 |
| Outlaws of Thunder JunctionOTJ | 0.116 cards | 10.9% | 1 in 9 |
| Commander MastersCMM | 0.160 cards | 14.8% | 1 in 7 |
| Dominaria UnitedDMU | 12.00 cards | 100.0% | 1 in 2 |
| Double Masters 20222X2 | 0.235 cards | 21.0% | 1 in 5 |