Modern Horizons 3: Serialized pull rate
In Modern Horizons 3 collector boosters (12 packs per box), you can expect about 0.072 serialized cards per box - roughly 0.0060 per pack. That works out to a 6.9% chance of pulling at least one serialized card per box, or about 1 in 14 for your first hit. The chase end is often Ulamog, the Defiler (about 1 in 42 for that specific printing).
Numbered /N printings that appear in a dedicated rare slot. Among the scarcest pulls in modern collector boosters.
Expected / box
0.072
cards
P(≥1 per box)
6.9%
1 in N boxes
1 in 14
Top Serialized cards in MH3
Per-printing expected pulls and odds of at least one per box.
| Card | Price | Expected / box | P(≥1) | 1 in N boxes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Ulamog, the Defiler #383z · mythic | $2,335 | 0.024 | 2.4% | 1 in 42 |
Emrakul, the World Anew #381z · mythic | $2,095 | 0.024 | 2.4% | 1 in 42 |
Kozilek, the Broken Reality #382z · mythic | $1,113 | 0.024 | 2.4% | 1 in 42 |