In Core Set 2021 collector boosters (12 packs per box), you can expect about 64.49 showcase cards per box - roughly 5.37 per pack. That works out to a 100.0% chance of pulling at least one showcase card per box, or about Every time for your first hit. The chase end is often Ugin, the Spirit Dragon (about 1 in 3 for that specific printing).
Showcase frame treatments across multiple slots.
Per-printing expected pulls and odds of at least one per box.
| Card | Price | Expected / box | P(≥1) | 1 in N boxes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Ugin, the Spirit Dragon #285 · mythic | $27.89 | 0.469 | 37.4% | 1 in 3 |
Teferi, Master of Time #291 · mythic | $11.00 | 0.469 | 37.4% | 1 in 3 |
Teferi, Master of Time #292 · mythic | $10.63 | 0.469 | 37.4% | 1 in 3 |
Teferi, Master of Time #290 · mythic | $7.99 | 0.469 | 37.4% | 1 in 3 |
Teferi, Master of Time #293 · mythic | $7.01 | 0.469 | 37.4% | 1 in 3 |
Liliana, Waker of the Dead #297 · mythic | $3.00 | 0.469 | 37.4% | 1 in 3 |
Teferi's Ageless Insight #294 · rare | $2.89 | 0.938 | 60.9% | 1 in 2 |
Chandra's Incinerator #302 · rare | $2.00 | 0.938 | 60.9% | 1 in 2 |
Basri Ket #286 · mythic | $1.25 | 0.469 | 37.4% | 1 in 3 |
Garruk, Unleashed #305 · mythic | $0.92 | 0.469 | 37.4% | 1 in 3 |
Swamp #311 · common | $0.75 | 2.40 | 90.9% | 1 in 2 |
Chandra, Heart of Fire #301 · mythic | $0.69 | 0.469 | 37.4% | 1 in 3 |
Mountain #312 · common | $0.65 | 2.40 | 90.9% | 1 in 2 |
Island #310 · common | $0.40 | 2.40 | 90.9% | 1 in 2 |
Forest #313 · common | $0.30 | 2.40 | 90.9% | 1 in 2 |
Garruk's Uprising #308 · uncommon | $0.25 | 2.91 | 94.5% | 1 in 2 |
Liliana's Steward #300 · common | $0.00 | 5.81 | 99.7% | 1 in 2 |
Garruk's Gorehorn #306 · common | $0.00 | 5.81 | 99.7% | 1 in 2 |
Basri's Acolyte #287 · common | $0.00 | 5.81 | 99.7% | 1 in 2 |
Teferi's Protege #295 · common | $0.00 | 5.81 | 99.7% | 1 in 2 |
Chandra's Magmutt #303 · common | $0.00 | 5.81 | 99.7% | 1 in 2 |
Liliana's Devotee #298 · uncommon | $0.00 | 2.91 | 94.5% | 1 in 2 |
Teferi's Tutelage #296 · uncommon | $0.00 | 2.91 | 94.5% | 1 in 2 |
Basri's Solidarity #289 · uncommon | $0.00 | 2.91 | 94.5% | 1 in 2 |
Chandra's Pyreling #304 · uncommon | $0.00 | 2.91 | 94.5% | 1 in 2 |