In The Lord of the Rings: Tales of Middle-earth collector boosters (12 packs per box), you can expect about 22.22 showcase cards per box - roughly 1.85 per pack. That works out to a 100.0% chance of pulling at least one showcase card per box, or about Every time for your first hit. The chase end is often Sauron, the Dark Lord (about 1 in 4 for that specific printing).
Showcase frame treatments across multiple slots.
Per-printing expected pulls and odds of at least one per box.
| Card | Price | Expected / box | P(≥1) | 1 in N boxes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Sauron, the Dark Lord #329 · mythic | $26.07 | 0.280 | 24.4% | 1 in 4 |
Witch-king of Angmar #311 · mythic | $14.00 | 0.189 | 17.2% | 1 in 6 |
Gandalf the White #305 · mythic | $13.50 | 0.189 | 17.2% | 1 in 6 |
Aragorn, the Uniter #317 · mythic | $9.99 | 0.189 | 17.2% | 1 in 6 |
Tom Bombadil #331 · mythic | $3.50 | 0.280 | 24.4% | 1 in 4 |
Boromir, Warden of the Tower #302 · rare | $3.00 | 0.378 | 31.5% | 1 in 3 |
Saruman of Many Colors #328 · mythic | $1.32 | 0.189 | 17.2% | 1 in 6 |
Samwise Gamgee #327 · rare | $1.25 | 0.757 | 53.1% | 1 in 2 |
Pippin, Guard of the Citadel #326 · rare | $1.19 | 0.378 | 31.5% | 1 in 3 |
Merry, Esquire of Rohan #325 · rare | $0.50 | 0.378 | 31.5% | 1 in 3 |
Aragorn, Company Leader #316 · rare | $0.44 | 0.378 | 31.5% | 1 in 3 |
Galadriel of Lothlórien #321 · rare | $0.36 | 0.378 | 31.5% | 1 in 3 |
Sauron, the Necromancer #310 · rare | $0.35 | 0.757 | 53.1% | 1 in 2 |
Legolas, Master Archer #313 · rare | $0.35 | 0.378 | 31.5% | 1 in 3 |
Gandalf the Grey #322 · rare | $0.25 | 0.757 | 53.1% | 1 in 2 |
Sméagol, Helpful Guide #330 · rare | $0.25 | 0.757 | 53.1% | 1 in 2 |
Gandalf, Friend of the Shire #308 · uncommon | $0.00 | 1.37 | 74.6% | 1 in 2 |
Elrond, Lord of Rivendell #307 · uncommon | $0.00 | 1.37 | 74.6% | 1 in 2 |
Faramir, Field Commander #303 · uncommon | $0.00 | 1.37 | 74.6% | 1 in 2 |
Meriadoc Brandybuck #314 · uncommon | $0.00 | 1.37 | 74.6% | 1 in 2 |
Peregrin Took #315 · uncommon | $0.00 | 1.37 | 74.6% | 1 in 2 |
Gimli, Counter of Kills #312 · uncommon | $0.00 | 1.37 | 74.6% | 1 in 2 |
Legolas, Counter of Kills #324 · uncommon | $0.00 | 1.37 | 74.6% | 1 in 2 |
Samwise the Stouthearted #306 · uncommon | $0.00 | 1.37 | 74.6% | 1 in 2 |
Frodo Baggins #320 · uncommon | $0.00 | 1.37 | 74.6% | 1 in 2 |