In The Lord of the Rings: Tales of Middle-earth (Special Edition) collector boosters (12 packs per box), you can expect about 0.018 serialized cards per box - roughly 0.0015 per pack. That works out to a 1.8% chance of pulling at least one serialized card per box, or about 1 in 56 for your first hit. The chase end is often Sauron, the Dark Lord (about 1 in 3350 for that specific printing).
Numbered /N printings that appear in a dedicated rare slot. Among the scarcest pulls in modern collector boosters.
Per-printing expected pulls and odds of at least one per box.
| Card | Price | Expected / box | P(≥1) | 1 in N boxes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Sauron, the Dark Lord #744z · mythic | $10,329 | 0.0003 | 0.0% | 1 in 3350 |
Saruman of Many Colors #743z · mythic | $5,253 | 0.0003 | 0.0% | 1 in 3350 |
The One Ring #748z · mythic | $5,253 | 0.0003 | 0.0% | 1 in 3350 |
Mount Doom #750z · mythic | $4,447 | 0.0003 | 0.0% | 1 in 3350 |
Ancient Tomb #387z · mythic | $4,024 | 0.0004 | 0.0% | 1 in 2500 |
Gandalf the White #732z · mythic | $3,781 | 0.0003 | 0.0% | 1 in 3350 |
The Great Henge #378z · mythic | $3,549 | 0.0004 | 0.0% | 1 in 2500 |
Shadowspear #383z · mythic | $3,390 | 0.0004 | 0.0% | 1 in 2500 |
Cavern of Souls #392z · mythic | $3,240 | 0.0004 | 0.0% | 1 in 2500 |
Storm of Saruman #733z · mythic | $3,209 | 0.0003 | 0.0% | 1 in 3350 |
Palantír of Orthanc #749z · mythic | $2,985 | 0.0003 | 0.0% | 1 in 3350 |
Urborg, Tomb of Yawgmoth #405z · mythic | $2,970 | 0.0004 | 0.0% | 1 in 2500 |
Dawn of a New Age #731z · mythic | $2,889 | 0.0003 | 0.0% | 1 in 3350 |
Horizon Canopy #396z · mythic | $2,770 | 0.0004 | 0.0% | 1 in 2500 |
Rings of Brighthearth #382z · mythic | $2,769 | 0.0004 | 0.0% | 1 in 2500 |
Last March of the Ents #739z · mythic | $2,745 | 0.0003 | 0.0% | 1 in 3350 |
Yavimaya, Cradle of Growth #407z · mythic | $2,727 | 0.0004 | 0.0% | 1 in 2500 |
Aragorn, the Uniter #741z · mythic | $2,723 | 0.0003 | 0.0% | 1 in 3350 |
Karakas #397z · mythic | $2,453 | 0.0004 | 0.0% | 1 in 2500 |
Sword of the Animist #385z · mythic | $2,420 | 0.0004 | 0.0% | 1 in 2500 |
Sword of Hearth and Home #384z · mythic | $2,293 | 0.0004 | 0.0% | 1 in 2500 |
Witch-king of Angmar #736z · mythic | $2,233 | 0.0003 | 0.0% | 1 in 3350 |
Ensnaring Bridge #380z · mythic | $2,232 | 0.0004 | 0.0% | 1 in 2500 |
Gemstone Caverns #394z · mythic | $2,211 | 0.0004 | 0.0% | 1 in 2500 |
Cloudstone Curio #379z · mythic | $2,181 | 0.0004 | 0.0% | 1 in 2500 |