In Foundations collector boosters (12 packs per box), you can expect about 0.120 fracture foil cards per box - roughly 0.0100 per pack. That works out to a 11.3% chance of pulling at least one fracture foil card per box, or about 1 in 9 for your first hit. The chase end is often Llanowar Elves (about 1 in 84 for that specific printing).
Fracture foil treatment on selected mythics and rares.
Per-printing expected pulls and odds of at least one per box.
| Card | Price | Expected / box | P(≥1) | 1 in N boxes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Llanowar Elves #439 · mythic | $755 | 0.012 | 1.2% | 1 in 84 |
Doubling Season #438 · mythic | $622 | 0.012 | 1.2% | 1 in 84 |
Twinflame Tyrant #437 · mythic | $466 | 0.012 | 1.2% | 1 in 84 |
Bloodthirsty Conqueror #436 · mythic | $354 | 0.012 | 1.2% | 1 in 84 |
Progenitus #441 · mythic | $255 | 0.012 | 1.2% | 1 in 84 |
Muldrotha, the Gravetide #440 · mythic | $235 | 0.012 | 1.2% | 1 in 84 |
Herald of Eternal Dawn #433 · mythic | $171 | 0.012 | 1.2% | 1 in 84 |
Think Twice #435 · mythic | $87.67 | 0.012 | 1.2% | 1 in 84 |
Day of Judgment #432 · mythic | $75.80 | 0.012 | 1.2% | 1 in 84 |
Kaito, Cunning Infiltrator #434 · mythic | $60.00 | 0.012 | 1.2% | 1 in 84 |