Modern Horizons 3: Concept art pull rate

In Modern Horizons 3 collector boosters (12 packs per box), you can expect about 0.310 concept art cards per box - roughly 0.026 per pack. That works out to a 26.7% chance of pulling at least one concept art card per box, or about 1 in 4 for your first hit. The chase end is often Ulamog, the Defiler (about 1 in 10 for that specific printing).

Concept art variant on selected mythics.

Expected / box
0.310
cards
P(≥1 per box)
26.7%
1 in N boxes
1 in 4

Top Concept art cards in MH3

Per-printing expected pulls and odds of at least one per box.

CardPriceExpected / boxP(≥1)1 in N boxes
Ulamog, the Defiler
#383 · mythic
$1000.1039.8%1 in 10
Emrakul, the World Anew
#381 · mythic
$62.310.1039.8%1 in 10
Kozilek, the Broken Reality
#382 · mythic
$30.000.1039.8%1 in 10