In The Lord of the Rings: Tales of Middle-earth collector boosters (12 packs per box), you can expect about 0.096 surge foil cards per box - roughly 0.0080 per pack. That works out to a 9.2% chance of pulling at least one surge foil card per box, or about 1 in 11 for your first hit. The chase end is often Ancient Tomb (about 1 in 310 for that specific printing).
Rainbow surge-foil treatment on chase slots. Pull rates vary by set; often split across a dedicated slot and foil booster-fun slots.
Per-printing expected pulls and odds of at least one per box.
| Card | Price | Expected / box | P(≥1) | 1 in N boxes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Ancient Tomb #387 · mythic | $441 | 0.0032 | 0.3% | 1 in 310 |
Gemstone Caverns #394 · mythic | $300 | 0.0032 | 0.3% | 1 in 310 |
Urborg, Tomb of Yawgmoth #405 · mythic | $296 | 0.0032 | 0.3% | 1 in 310 |
Cavern of Souls #392 · mythic | $218 | 0.0032 | 0.3% | 1 in 310 |
The Great Henge #378 · mythic | $202 | 0.0032 | 0.3% | 1 in 310 |
The Ozolith #381 · mythic | $180 | 0.0032 | 0.3% | 1 in 310 |
Yavimaya, Cradle of Growth #407 · mythic | $172 | 0.0032 | 0.3% | 1 in 310 |
Minamo, School at Water's Edge #399 · mythic | $159 | 0.0032 | 0.3% | 1 in 310 |
Shadowspear #383 · mythic | $157 | 0.0032 | 0.3% | 1 in 310 |
Cabal Coffers #390 · mythic | $133 | 0.0032 | 0.3% | 1 in 310 |
Bojuka Bog #388 · mythic | $95.32 | 0.0032 | 0.3% | 1 in 310 |
Reflecting Pool #403 · mythic | $73.68 | 0.0032 | 0.3% | 1 in 310 |
Shinka, the Bloodsoaked Keep #404 · mythic | $70.42 | 0.0032 | 0.3% | 1 in 310 |
Wasteland #406 · mythic | $52.83 | 0.0032 | 0.3% | 1 in 310 |
Boseiju, Who Shelters All #389 · mythic | $47.00 | 0.0032 | 0.3% | 1 in 310 |
Deserted Temple #393 · mythic | $45.91 | 0.0032 | 0.3% | 1 in 310 |
Sword of Hearth and Home #384 · mythic | $43.02 | 0.0032 | 0.3% | 1 in 310 |
Kor Haven #398 · mythic | $40.79 | 0.0032 | 0.3% | 1 in 310 |
Oboro, Palace in the Clouds #401 · mythic | $38.86 | 0.0032 | 0.3% | 1 in 310 |
Homeward Path #395 · mythic | $38.12 | 0.0032 | 0.3% | 1 in 310 |
Cloudstone Curio #379 · mythic | $31.41 | 0.0032 | 0.3% | 1 in 310 |
Karakas #397 · mythic | $30.61 | 0.0032 | 0.3% | 1 in 310 |
Sword of the Animist #385 · mythic | $29.00 | 0.0032 | 0.3% | 1 in 310 |
Rings of Brighthearth #382 · mythic | $29.00 | 0.0032 | 0.3% | 1 in 310 |
Horizon Canopy #396 · mythic | $26.60 | 0.0032 | 0.3% | 1 in 310 |