In The Hobbit collector boosters (12 packs per box), you can expect about 3.01 poster cards per box - roughly 0.250 per pack. That works out to a 95.0% chance of pulling at least one poster card per box, or about 1 in 2 for your first hit. The chase end is often Gleaming Splendor (about 1 in 5 for that specific printing).
Borderless poster-sized cards, usually capped by a dedicated poster slot in the collation.
Per-printing expected pulls and odds of at least one per box.
| Card | Price | Expected / box | P(≥1) | 1 in N boxes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Gleaming Splendor #239 · mythic | $62.00 | 0.215 | 19.3% | 1 in 5 |
The Arkenstone // Seek the Heart #247 · mythic | $48.50 | 0.215 | 19.3% | 1 in 5 |
Gandalf, Goblins' Bane // Flameshape #242 · mythic | $17.00 | 0.215 | 19.3% | 1 in 5 |
Thorin, Mountain-king #243 · mythic | $15.50 | 0.215 | 19.3% | 1 in 5 |
Bard, King of Dale #244 · mythic | $13.35 | 0.215 | 19.3% | 1 in 5 |
The Lonely Mountain #248 · rare | $12.50 | 0.429 | 34.9% | 1 in 3 |
Gollum, Riddle Master #241 · mythic | $9.35 | 0.215 | 19.3% | 1 in 5 |
Smaug, Wicked Worm #245 · rare | $5.00 | 0.429 | 34.9% | 1 in 3 |
Thranduil, the Elvenking #246 · rare | $3.99 | 0.429 | 34.9% | 1 in 3 |
The Lord of the Eagles #240 · rare | $0.99 | 0.429 | 34.9% | 1 in 3 |