Poster pull rates
Borderless poster-sized cards, usually capped by a dedicated poster slot in the collation. Across 5 collector booster products, the average expected rate is about 2.79 poster cards per box (94% chance of at least one per box, roughly 1 in 2).
Pull rates are computed from MTGJSON collector-booster collation (slot weights and pack configs). Treatment labels (Serialized, Surge foil, etc.) come from Scryfall. We dedupe chase cards duplicated into common showcase sheets and cap serialized-only slots at Wizards' published “<1% per pack” ceiling when multiple numbered cards share one slot. “1 in N boxes” uses a Poisson model: P(at least one per box) = 1 − e−expected. Full methodology.
By set
Click a set for card-level odds and top chase printings.
| Set | Expected / box | P(≥1 / box) | 1 in N boxes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marvel Super HeroesMSH | 0.237 cards | 21.1% | 1 in 5 |
| Marvel's Spider-ManSPM | 6.98 cards | 99.9% | 1 in 2 |
| Edge of EternitiesEOE | 0.726 cards | 51.6% | 1 in 2 |
| Innistrad RemasteredINR | 3.35 cards | 96.5% | 1 in 2 |
| The Lord of the Rings: Tales of Middle-earth (Special Edition)LTR-SE | 2.66 cards | 93.0% | 1 in 2 |