Poster pull rates

Borderless poster-sized cards, usually capped by a dedicated poster slot in the collation. Across 5 collector booster products, the average expected rate is about 2.79 poster cards per box (94% chance of at least one per box, roughly 1 in 2).

Pull rates are computed from MTGJSON collector-booster collation (slot weights and pack configs). Treatment labels (Serialized, Surge foil, etc.) come from Scryfall. We dedupe chase cards duplicated into common showcase sheets and cap serialized-only slots at Wizards' published “<1% per pack” ceiling when multiple numbered cards share one slot. “1 in N boxes” uses a Poisson model: P(at least one per box) = 1 − e−expected. Full methodology.

By set

Click a set for card-level odds and top chase printings.

SetExpected / boxP(≥1 / box)1 in N boxes
Marvel Super HeroesMSH0.237 cards21.1%1 in 5
Marvel's Spider-ManSPM6.98 cards99.9%1 in 2
Edge of EternitiesEOE0.726 cards51.6%1 in 2
Innistrad RemasteredINR3.35 cards96.5%1 in 2
The Lord of the Rings: Tales of Middle-earth (Special Edition)LTR-SE2.66 cards93.0%1 in 2