In Reality Fracture collector boosters (12 packs per box), you can expect about 0.122 fracture foil cards per box - roughly 0.010 per pack. That works out to a 11.5% chance of pulling at least one fracture foil card per box, or about 1 in 9 for your first hit. The chase end is often Aerid Konstrari (about 1 in 82 for that specific printing).
Fracture foil treatment on selected mythics and rares.
Per-printing expected pulls and odds of at least one per box.
| Card | Price | Expected / box | P(≥1) | 1 in N boxes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Aerid Konstrari #417 · mythic | $925 | 0.012 | 1.2% | 1 in 82 |
Uldaros Theorix #421 · mythic | $585 | 0.012 | 1.2% | 1 in 82 |
The Theorist, Jace Beleren #415 · mythic | $432 | 0.012 | 1.2% | 1 in 82 |
Emrakul, the Exigent Doom #413 · mythic | $399 | 0.012 | 1.2% | 1 in 82 |
Kwia Vigorbloom #420 · mythic | $355 | 0.012 | 1.2% | 1 in 82 |
Gardenize #416 · mythic | $350 | 0.012 | 1.2% | 1 in 82 |
Codie, Ravenous Codex #422 · mythic | $280 | 0.012 | 1.2% | 1 in 82 |
Ingris Stingerquill #419 · mythic | $162 | 0.012 | 1.2% | 1 in 82 |
Denzilore Fatehold #418 · mythic | $92.00 | 0.012 | 1.2% | 1 in 82 |
Loyal Tutor #414 · mythic | $49.99 | 0.012 | 1.2% | 1 in 82 |