In Adventures in the Forgotten Realms collector boosters (12 packs per box), you can expect about 6.99 borderless cards per box - roughly 0.582 per pack. That works out to a 99.9% chance of pulling at least one borderless card per box, or about 1 in 2 for your first hit. The chase end is often Old Gnawbone (about 1 in 4 for that specific printing).
Borderless full-art printings in booster-fun slots.
Per-printing expected pulls and odds of at least one per box.
| Card | Price | Expected / box | P(≥1) | 1 in N boxes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Old Gnawbone #296 · mythic | $99.74 | 0.299 | 25.8% | 1 in 4 |
Tiamat #298 · mythic | $52.15 | 0.299 | 25.8% | 1 in 4 |
Lolth, Spider Queen #284 · mythic | $10.90 | 0.299 | 25.8% | 1 in 4 |
Inferno of the Star Mounts #293 · mythic | $4.25 | 0.299 | 25.8% | 1 in 4 |
Ebondeath, Dracolich #292 · mythic | $3.99 | 0.299 | 25.8% | 1 in 4 |
Zariel, Archduke of Avernus #285 · mythic | $3.70 | 0.299 | 25.8% | 1 in 4 |
Iymrith, Desert Doom #290 · mythic | $3.51 | 0.299 | 25.8% | 1 in 4 |
Icingdeath, Frost Tyrant #287 · mythic | $3.25 | 0.299 | 25.8% | 1 in 4 |
Mordenkainen #283 · mythic | $1.00 | 0.299 | 25.8% | 1 in 4 |
Ellywick Tumblestrum #286 · mythic | $0.68 | 0.299 | 25.8% | 1 in 4 |
Grand Master of Flowers #282 · mythic | $0.49 | 0.299 | 25.8% | 1 in 4 |
Adult Gold Dragon #297 · rare | $0.33 | 0.597 | 45.0% | 1 in 2 |
Red Dragon #294 · uncommon | $0.00 | 0.621 | 46.2% | 1 in 2 |
Blue Dragon #289 · uncommon | $0.00 | 0.621 | 46.2% | 1 in 2 |
White Dragon #288 · uncommon | $0.00 | 0.621 | 46.2% | 1 in 2 |
Black Dragon #291 · uncommon | $0.00 | 0.621 | 46.2% | 1 in 2 |
Green Dragon #295 · uncommon | $0.00 | 0.621 | 46.2% | 1 in 2 |