RVR·Released Jan 12, 2024·12 packs / box · 15 cards / pack·Prices refreshes every 6 hours
Ravnica Remastered collector booster EV
Verdict
Money pit
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What opening a box looks like
Simulated from published collation. Most boxes land below average; chase cards pull the mean up.
$342
$436
$486
$603
$1,280
Floor (10%)
$342
Typical
$436
Average (EV)
$486
Lucky (90%)
$603
Box price
$1,280
The average box ($486) is $50.19 above a typical box ($436) — 10%of the EV comes from above-median outcomes you probably won't see.
Value distribution
10,000 simulated boxes
Below box cost
98%
lose money on resale
At or above cost
2%
break even or profit
profit zone
Box $1,280
EV $486 · 69th
Median $436
$0$350$700$1,050$1,400$1,750$2,100
Monte Carlo distribution of total card value per box. Green bars are at or above sealed cost; rose bars are below. EV lands at the 69th percentile — 69% of simulated boxes yield less than the average.
Key facts
Ravnica Remastered collector boosterbox TCG low $1,280, expected value $486, median box $436, 2% break-even, −62% vs sealed. Methodology · JSON
FAQ for search & AI citations
What is the expected value of a Ravnica Remastered collector booster box?
The expected value (EV) of a Ravnica Remastered collector booster box is $486 based on Wizards' published collation and current TCGplayer prices. The typical (median) box is worth $436.
What are the odds of breaking even on Ravnica Remastered collector boosters?
About 2% of simulated Ravnica Remastered collector boxes return at least the sealed box price ($1,280). This uses Monte Carlo simulation with corrected MTGJSON collation weights.
Should I crack or hold Ravnica Remastered sealed?
Money pit. EV is $486 vs sealed $1,280 (−62% return if cracked at TCG low). See the crack-vs-hold comparison on this page for singles targets.
EV over time
Daily snapshots after release · box EV vs sealed price
EV +$12.41 (2.6%) · Box +$430 (50.6%) over 3m · ROI −17.8%
Box EV Box price
Should you crack it?
Sealed vs singles and pack vs box economics for this set.
Pack vs box economics
Should you buy a sealed box or individual packs? EV per pack is the same either way; the question is what you pay per pack.
Box price
$1,280
Standalone pack listing
$135
Implied pack (box / packs)
$107
EV per pack
$40.52
$486 / box
Return opening box
−62%
Return buying packs at listing
−70%
The box is the better deal per pack ($107 vs $135 listing). Still a losing bet on average at −62% return.
Buy the single instead?
Compare chasing a card by opening boxes vs buying it outright at today's price.
Single price
$60.42
Pull any copy
1 in 4 (26.0% / box)
Boxes for 50% chance
2
Cost of those boxes
$2,560
Boxes for 95% chance
9
Cost at 95%
$11,520
You'd spend about $2,560 opening boxes for a coin-flip at Watery Grave, vs $60.42 to buy it now.
Chase pull rates
Treatment odds from corrected collation. Tap a row for card-level detail.
Chase pull rates
Expected cards per box and the odds of pulling at least one, by Booster Fun treatment. “1 in N” is per box, not a percentage.