RVR·Released Jan 12, 2024·12 packs / box · 15 cards / pack·Prices refreshes every 6 hours
Ravnica Remastered collector booster EV
Verdict
Money pit
Loading opener...
What opening a box looks like
Simulated from published collation. Most boxes land below average; chase cards pull the mean up.
$336
$430
$477
$604
$1,170
Floor (10%)
$336
Typical
$430
Average (EV)
$477
Lucky (90%)
$604
Box price
$1,170
The average box ($477) is $46.96 above a typical box ($430) — 10%of the EV comes from above-median outcomes you probably won't see.
Value distribution
10,000 simulated boxes
Below box cost
98%
lose money on resale
At or above cost
2%
break even or profit
profit zone
Box $1,170
EV $477
Median $430
$0$317$633$950$1,267$1,583$1,900
Monte Carlo distribution of total card value per box. Green bars are at or above sealed cost; rose bars are below.
Key facts
Ravnica Remastered collector boosterbox TCG low $1,170, expected value $477, median box $430, 2% break-even, −59% vs sealed. Methodology · JSON
FAQ for search & AI citations
What is the expected value of a Ravnica Remastered collector booster box?
The expected value (EV) of a Ravnica Remastered collector booster box is $477 based on Wizards' published collation and current TCGplayer prices. The typical (median) box is worth $430.
What are the odds of breaking even on Ravnica Remastered collector boosters?
About 2% of simulated Ravnica Remastered collector boxes return at least the sealed box price ($1,170). This uses Monte Carlo simulation with corrected MTGJSON collation weights.
Should I crack or hold Ravnica Remastered sealed?
Money pit. EV is $477 vs sealed $1,170 (−59% return if cracked at TCG low). See the crack-vs-hold comparison on this page for singles targets.
EV over time
Daily snapshots after release · box EV vs sealed price
EV +$41.92 (9.6%) · Box +$251 (33.6%) over 3m · ROI −10.5%
Box EV Box price
Should you crack it?
Sealed vs singles and pack vs box economics for this set.
Pack vs box economics
Should you buy a sealed box or individual packs? EV per pack is the same either way; the question is what you pay per pack.
Box price
$1,170
Standalone pack listing
$87.97
Implied pack (box / packs)
$97.50
EV per pack
$39.74
$477 / box
Return opening box
−59%
Return buying packs at listing
−55%
Standalone packs list at $87.97 vs $97.50 implied from the box. Packs look cheaper per slot, but EV is still $39.74/pack (−55% return either way).
Buy the single instead?
Compare chasing a card by opening boxes vs buying it outright at today's price.
Single price
$49.48
Pull any copy
1 in 4 (26.0% / box)
Boxes for 50% chance
2
Cost of those boxes
$2,340
Boxes for 95% chance
9
Cost at 95%
$10,530
You'd spend about $2,340 opening boxes for a coin-flip at Steam Vents, vs $49.48 to buy it now.
Chase pull rates
Treatment odds from corrected collation. Tap a row for card-level detail.
Chase pull rates
Expected cards per box and the odds of pulling at least one, by Booster Fun treatment. “1 in N” is per box, not a percentage.