Pack contents simulated from Wizards' published collector-booster collation (via MTGJSON). Sealed cost uses TCGplayer low (via TCGCSV); cards are valued at the lowest real market signal — TCGplayer (last sale when one exists, else low) or Cardmarket (via Scryfall) — so a lone unsold listing can't inflate a card. Cards under a small bulk threshold count as $0. Prices refresh daily and are estimates — not financial advice.

Videos · Portfolio · Pull rates · Methodology · Compare sets · llms.txt · Why we don't crack · for educational purposes

WWhy we don't crack
VideosPortfolioPull ratesCompareMarketMethodology
  1. Home
  2. /Ravnica Allegiance
RNA·Released Jan 25, 2019·12 packs / box · 15 cards / pack·Prices refreshes every 6 hours

Ravnica Allegiance collector booster EV

Verdict
No price
Loading opener...

Set snapshot

Box price
—
Expected value
$86.13
$7.18/pack
Net EV
—
Break-even
—

Smothering Tithe

$54.00 · 1 in 2 · 48% / box

SimulateOutlookFactsEV historyCrack or holdPull rates

What opening a box looks like

Simulated from published collation. Most boxes land below average; chase cards pull the mean up.

$39.88
$80.76
$86.13
$144
Floor (10%)
$39.88
Typical
$80.76
Average (EV)
$86.13
Lucky (90%)
$144

The average box ($86.13) is $5.37 above a typical box ($80.76) — 6%of the EV comes from above-median outcomes you probably won't see.

Value distribution

10,000 simulated boxes
EV $86.13
Median $80.76
$0$28$55$83$110$138$165

Monte Carlo distribution of total card value per box. Green bars are at or above sealed cost; rose bars are below.

Key facts

Ravnica Allegiance collector boosterbox TCG low N/A, expected value $86.13, median box $80.76, N/A break-even. Methodology · JSON

FAQ for search & AI citations
What is the expected value of a Ravnica Allegiance collector booster box?
The expected value (EV) of a Ravnica Allegiance collector booster box is $86.13 based on Wizards' published collation and current TCGplayer prices. The typical (median) box is worth $80.76.
What are the odds of breaking even on Ravnica Allegiance collector boosters?
About N/A of simulated Ravnica Allegiance collector boxes return at least the sealed box price (unknown). This uses Monte Carlo simulation with corrected MTGJSON collation weights.
Should I crack or hold Ravnica Allegiance sealed?
No sealed price. EV is $86.13 vs sealed unknown (N/A return if cracked at TCG low). See the crack-vs-hold comparison on this page for singles targets.

EV over time

Daily snapshots after release · box EV vs sealed price

EV −$0.39 (-0.5%) over 3m

Box EV Box price

Should you crack it?

Sealed vs singles and pack vs box economics for this set.

Pack vs box economics

Should you buy a sealed box or individual packs? EV per pack is the same either way; the question is what you pay per pack.

Box price
—
Standalone pack listing
$1,950
Implied pack (box / packs)
—
EV per pack
$7.18
$86.13 / box
Return opening box
—
Return buying packs at listing
−100%

Buy the single instead?

Compare chasing a card by opening boxes vs buying it outright at today's price.

Single price
$54.00
Pull any copy
1 in 2 (48.0% / box)
Boxes for 50% chance
1
Cost of those boxes
—
Boxes for 95% chance
3
Cost at 95%
—

Chase pull rates

Treatment odds from corrected collation. Tap a row for card-level detail.

Chase pull rates

Expected cards per box and the odds of pulling at least one, by Booster Fun treatment. “1 in N” is per box, not a percentage.

TreatmentExpected / boxP(≥1 / box)1 in N boxes
Standard180.00 cards100.0%Every time

All chase pull rates · Tap a treatment for odds and top cards in this set.

Reference