Pack contents simulated from Wizards' published collector-booster collation (via MTGJSON). Sealed cost uses TCGplayer low (via TCGCSV); cards are valued at the lowest real market signal — TCGplayer (last sale when one exists, else low) or Cardmarket (via Scryfall) — so a lone unsold listing can't inflate a card. Cards under a small bulk threshold count as $0. Prices refresh daily and are estimates — not financial advice.

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RNA·Released Jan 25, 2019·12 packs / box · 15 cards / pack·Prices refreshes every 6 hours

Ravnica Allegiance collector booster EV

Verdict
No price
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Set snapshot

Box price
—
Expected value
$91.34
$7.61/pack
Net EV
—
Break-even
—

Smothering Tithe

$58.99 · 1 in 2 · 48% / box

SimulateOutlookFactsEV historyCrack or holdPull rates

What opening a box looks like

Simulated from published collation. Most boxes land below average; chase cards pull the mean up.

$43.29
$86.35
$91.34
$153
Floor (10%)
$43.29
Typical
$86.35
Average (EV)
$91.34
Lucky (90%)
$153

Value distribution

10,000 simulated boxes
EV $91.34 · 54th
Median $86.35
$0$30$60$90$120$150$180

Monte Carlo distribution of total card value per box. Green bars are at or above sealed cost; rose bars are below. EV lands at the 54th percentile — 54% of simulated boxes yield less than the average.

Key facts

Ravnica Allegiance collector boosterbox TCG low N/A, expected value $91.34, median box $86.35, N/A break-even. Methodology · JSON

FAQ for search & AI citations
What is the expected value of a Ravnica Allegiance collector booster box?
The expected value (EV) of a Ravnica Allegiance collector booster box is $91.34 based on Wizards' published collation and current TCGplayer prices. The typical (median) box is worth $86.35.
What are the odds of breaking even on Ravnica Allegiance collector boosters?
About N/A of simulated Ravnica Allegiance collector boxes return at least the sealed box price (unknown). This uses Monte Carlo simulation with corrected MTGJSON collation weights.
Should I crack or hold Ravnica Allegiance sealed?
No sealed price. EV is $91.34 vs sealed unknown (N/A return if cracked at TCG low). See the crack-vs-hold comparison on this page for singles targets.

EV over time

Daily snapshots after release · box EV vs sealed price

EV +$5.31 (6.2%) over 3m

Box EV Box price

Should you crack it?

Sealed vs singles and pack vs box economics for this set.

Pack vs box economics

Should you buy a sealed box or individual packs? EV per pack is the same either way; the question is what you pay per pack.

Box price
—
Standalone pack listing
$1,950
Implied pack (box / packs)
—
EV per pack
$7.61
$91.34 / box
Return opening box
—
Return buying packs at listing
−100%

Buy the single instead?

Compare chasing a card by opening boxes vs buying it outright at today's price.

Single price
$58.99
Pull any copy
1 in 2 (48.0% / box)
Boxes for 50% chance
1
Cost of those boxes
—
Boxes for 95% chance
3
Cost at 95%
—

Chase pull rates

Treatment odds from corrected collation. Tap a row for card-level detail.

Chase pull rates

Expected cards per box and the odds of pulling at least one, by Booster Fun treatment. “1 in N” is per box, not a percentage.

TreatmentExpected / boxP(≥1 / box)1 in N boxes
Standard180.00 cards100.0%Every time

All chase pull rates · Tap a treatment for odds and top cards in this set.

Reference