In The Hobbit collector boosters (12 packs per box), you can expect about 4.34 surge foil cards per box - roughly 0.362 per pack. That works out to a 98.7% chance of pulling at least one surge foil card per box, or about 1 in 2 for your first hit. The chase end is often The One Ring (about 1 in 27 for that specific printing).
Rainbow surge-foil treatment on chase slots. Pull rates vary by set; often split across a dedicated slot and foil booster-fun slots.
Per-printing expected pulls and odds of at least one per box.
| Card | Price | Expected / box | P(≥1) | 1 in N boxes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
The One Ring #84 · mythic | $473 | 0.037 | 3.7% | 1 in 27 |
Gleaming Splendor #275 · mythic | $410 | 0.037 | 3.7% | 1 in 27 |
Smaug the Magnificent #265 · mythic | $225 | 0.037 | 3.7% | 1 in 27 |
The Arkenstone // Seek the Heart #283 · mythic | $185 | 0.037 | 3.7% | 1 in 27 |
Gandalf, Goblins' Bane // Flameshape #278 · mythic | $174 | 0.037 | 3.7% | 1 in 27 |
Orcish Bowmasters #59 · mythic | $169 | 0.037 | 3.7% | 1 in 27 |
Galadriel, Light of Valinor #72 · mythic | $167 | 0.037 | 3.7% | 1 in 27 |
The Queen of Dale #253 · mythic | $125 | 0.037 | 3.7% | 1 in 27 |
Sauron, the Dark Lord #76 · mythic | $123 | 0.037 | 3.7% | 1 in 27 |
Bard, King of Dale #280 · mythic | $123 | 0.037 | 3.7% | 1 in 27 |
Thorin, Mountain-king #279 · mythic | $105 | 0.037 | 3.7% | 1 in 27 |
Gollum, Riddle Master #277 · mythic | $94.00 | 0.037 | 3.7% | 1 in 27 |
The Arkenstone // Seek the Heart #270 · mythic | $84.90 | 0.037 | 3.7% | 1 in 27 |
Galadriel's Dismissal #56 · mythic | $84.14 | 0.037 | 3.7% | 1 in 27 |
Thranduil, the Elvenking #282 · rare | $74.99 | 0.075 | 7.2% | 1 in 14 |
Bilbo, Thief in the Night #255 · mythic | $70.74 | 0.037 | 3.7% | 1 in 27 |
Orcrist, Goblin-cleaver #272 · mythic | $70.00 | 0.037 | 3.7% | 1 in 27 |
Smaug, Wicked Worm #281 · rare | $69.48 | 0.075 | 7.2% | 1 in 14 |
Beorn the Fierce #266 · mythic | $62.95 | 0.037 | 3.7% | 1 in 27 |
Cavern-Hoard Dragon #63 · mythic | $61.66 | 0.037 | 3.7% | 1 in 27 |
Mithril Coat #83 · mythic | $61.18 | 0.037 | 3.7% | 1 in 27 |
Delighted Halfling #65 · mythic | $58.00 | 0.037 | 3.7% | 1 in 27 |
Last March of the Ents #67 · mythic | $54.84 | 0.037 | 3.7% | 1 in 27 |
Palantír of Orthanc #85 · mythic | $49.00 | 0.037 | 3.7% | 1 in 27 |
Flowering of the White Tree #54 · mythic | $47.08 | 0.037 | 3.7% | 1 in 27 |