The Hobbit: Extended art pull rate

In The Hobbit collector boosters (12 packs per box), you can expect about 1.72 extended art cards per box - roughly 0.143 per pack. That works out to a 82.0% chance of pulling at least one extended art card per box, or about 1 in 2 for your first hit. The chase end is often An Unexpected Party // At the Door (about 1 in 3 for that specific printing).

Extended-art frame on legendary and chase cards.

Expected / box
1.72
cards
P(≥1 per box)
82.0%
1 in N boxes
1 in 2

Top Extended art cards in HOB

Per-printing expected pulls and odds of at least one per box.

CardPriceExpected / boxP(≥1)1 in N boxes
An Unexpected Party // At the Door
#289 · rare
$25.000.42934.9%1 in 3
Tom, Bert, and William
#312 · rare
$22.000.42934.9%1 in 3
Riddles in the Dark
#292 · rare
$20.000.42934.9%1 in 3
Great Gilded Boat
#291 · rare
$20.000.42934.9%1 in 3