FIN·Released Jun 13, 2025·12 packs / box · 16 cards / pack·Prices refreshes every 6 hours
Final Fantasy collector booster EV
Verdict
Worth cracking
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What opening a box looks like
Simulated from published collation. Most boxes land below average; chase cards pull the mean up.
$375
$670
$1,632
$1,657
$2,151
Floor (10%)
$375
Typical
$670
Average (EV)
$2,151
Lucky (90%)
$1,632
Box price
$1,657
The average box ($2,151) is $1,480 above a typical box ($670) — 69%of the EV comes from above-median outcomes you probably won't see.
Value distribution
10,000 simulated boxes
Below box cost
91%
lose money on resale
At or above cost
9%
break even or profit
profit zone
Box $1,657
EV $2,151 · 94th
Median $670
$0$450$900$1,350$1,800$2,250$2,700
Monte Carlo distribution of total card value per box. Green bars are at or above sealed cost; rose bars are below. EV lands at the 94th percentile — 94% of simulated boxes yield less than the average.
Key facts
Final Fantasy collector boosterbox TCG low $1,657, expected value $2,151, median box $670, 10% break-even, +30% vs sealed. Methodology · JSON
FAQ for search & AI citations
What is the expected value of a Final Fantasy collector booster box?
The expected value (EV) of a Final Fantasy collector booster box is $2,151 based on Wizards' published collation and current TCGplayer prices. The typical (median) box is worth $670.
What are the odds of breaking even on Final Fantasy collector boosters?
About 10% of simulated Final Fantasy collector boxes return at least the sealed box price ($1,657). This uses Monte Carlo simulation with corrected MTGJSON collation weights.
Should I crack or hold Final Fantasy sealed?
Worth cracking (EV above box price). EV is $2,151 vs sealed $1,657 (+30% return if cracked at TCG low). See the crack-vs-hold comparison on this page for singles targets.
EV over time
Daily snapshots after release · box EV vs sealed price
EV +$1,358 (171.2%) · Box −$218 (-11.6%) over 3m · ROI +87.5%
Box EV Box price
Should you crack it?
Sealed vs singles and pack vs box economics for this set.
Pack vs box economics
Should you buy a sealed box or individual packs? EV per pack is the same either way; the question is what you pay per pack.
Box price
$1,657
Standalone pack listing
$160
Implied pack (box / packs)
$138
EV per pack
$179
$2,151 / box
Return opening box
+30%
Return buying packs at listing
+12%
The box is the better deal per pack ($138 vs $160 listing). Still a losing bet on average at +30% return.
Buy the single instead?
Compare chasing a card by opening boxes vs buying it outright at today's price.
Single price
$54,000
Pull any copy
1 in 42 (2.4% / box)
Boxes for 50% chance
29
Cost of those boxes
$48,045
Boxes for 95% chance
124
Cost at 95%
$205,432
Chase pull rates
Treatment odds from corrected collation. Tap a row for card-level detail.
Chase pull rates
Expected cards per box and the odds of pulling at least one, by Booster Fun treatment. “1 in N” is per box, not a percentage.