FIN·Released Jun 13, 2025·12 packs / box · 16 cards / pack·Prices refreshes every 6 hours
Final Fantasy collector booster EV
Verdict
Money pit
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What opening a box looks like
Simulated from published collation. Most boxes land below average; chase cards pull the mean up.
$354
$628
$793
$1,349
$1,874
Floor (10%)
$354
Typical
$628
Average (EV)
$793
Lucky (90%)
$1,349
Box price
$1,874
The average box ($793) is $165 above a typical box ($628) — 21%of the EV comes from above-median outcomes you probably won't see.
Value distribution
10,000 simulated boxes
Below box cost
96%
lose money on resale
At or above cost
4%
break even or profit
profit zone
Box $1,874
EV $793
Median $628
$0$500$1,000$1,500$2,000$2,500$3,000
Monte Carlo distribution of total card value per box. Green bars are at or above sealed cost; rose bars are below.
Key facts
Final Fantasy collector boosterbox TCG low $1,874, expected value $793, median box $628, 5% break-even, −58% vs sealed. Methodology · JSON
FAQ for search & AI citations
What is the expected value of a Final Fantasy collector booster box?
The expected value (EV) of a Final Fantasy collector booster box is $793 based on Wizards' published collation and current TCGplayer prices. The typical (median) box is worth $628.
What are the odds of breaking even on Final Fantasy collector boosters?
About 5% of simulated Final Fantasy collector boxes return at least the sealed box price ($1,874). This uses Monte Carlo simulation with corrected MTGJSON collation weights.
Should I crack or hold Final Fantasy sealed?
Money pit. EV is $793 vs sealed $1,874 (−58% return if cracked at TCG low). See the crack-vs-hold comparison on this page for singles targets.
EV over time
Daily snapshots after release · box EV vs sealed price
EV +$168 (26.9%) · Box +$737 (64.1%) over 3m · ROI −12.3%
Box EV Box price
Should you crack it?
Sealed vs singles and pack vs box economics for this set.
Pack vs box economics
Should you buy a sealed box or individual packs? EV per pack is the same either way; the question is what you pay per pack.
Box price
$1,874
Standalone pack listing
$142
Implied pack (box / packs)
$156
EV per pack
$66.08
$793 / box
Return opening box
−58%
Return buying packs at listing
−53%
Standalone packs list at $142 vs $156 implied from the box. Packs look cheaper per slot, but EV is still $66.08/pack (−53% return either way).
Buy the single instead?
Compare chasing a card by opening boxes vs buying it outright at today's price.
Single price
$5,950
Pull any copy
1 in 140 (0.7% / box)
Boxes for 50% chance
96
Cost of those boxes
$179,946
Boxes for 95% chance
415
Cost at 95%
$777,893
You'd spend about $179,946 opening boxes for a coin-flip at Traveling Chocobo, vs $5,950 to buy it now.
Chase pull rates
Treatment odds from corrected collation. Tap a row for card-level detail.
Chase pull rates
Expected cards per box and the odds of pulling at least one, by Booster Fun treatment. “1 in N” is per box, not a percentage.