EOE·Released Aug 1, 2025·12 packs / box · 15 cards / pack·Prices refreshes every 6 hours
Edge of Eternities collector booster EV
Verdict
Money pit
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What opening a box looks like
Simulated from published collation. Most boxes land below average; chase cards pull the mean up.
$193
$306
$369
$556
$720
Floor (10%)
$193
Typical
$306
Average (EV)
$369
Lucky (90%)
$556
Box price
$720
The average box ($369) is $63.06 above a typical box ($306) — 17%of the EV comes from above-median outcomes you probably won't see.
Value distribution
10,000 simulated boxes
Below box cost
95%
lose money on resale
At or above cost
5%
break even or profit
profit zone
Box $720
EV $369 · 68th
Median $306
$0$200$400$600$800$1,000$1,200
Monte Carlo distribution of total card value per box. Green bars are at or above sealed cost; rose bars are below. EV lands at the 68th percentile — 68% of simulated boxes yield less than the average.
Key facts
Edge of Eternities collector boosterbox TCG low $720, expected value $369, median box $306, 5% break-even, −49% vs sealed. Methodology · JSON
FAQ for search & AI citations
What is the expected value of a Edge of Eternities collector booster box?
The expected value (EV) of a Edge of Eternities collector booster box is $369 based on Wizards' published collation and current TCGplayer prices. The typical (median) box is worth $306.
What are the odds of breaking even on Edge of Eternities collector boosters?
About 5% of simulated Edge of Eternities collector boxes return at least the sealed box price ($720). This uses Monte Carlo simulation with corrected MTGJSON collation weights.
Should I crack or hold Edge of Eternities sealed?
Money pit. EV is $369 vs sealed $720 (−49% return if cracked at TCG low). See the crack-vs-hold comparison on this page for singles targets.
EV over time
Daily snapshots after release · box EV vs sealed price
EV +$43.92 (13.5%) · Box −$4.99 (-0.7%) over 3m · ROI +6.4%
Box EV Box price
Should you crack it?
Sealed vs singles and pack vs box economics for this set.
Pack vs box economics
Should you buy a sealed box or individual packs? EV per pack is the same either way; the question is what you pay per pack.
Box price
$720
Standalone pack listing
$71.87
Implied pack (box / packs)
$60.00
EV per pack
$30.75
$369 / box
Return opening box
−49%
Return buying packs at listing
−57%
The box is the better deal per pack ($60.00 vs $71.87 listing). Still a losing bet on average at −49% return.
Buy the single instead?
Compare chasing a card by opening boxes vs buying it outright at today's price.
Single price
$1,375
Pull any copy
1 in 42 (2.4% / box)
Boxes for 50% chance
29
Cost of those boxes
$20,880
Boxes for 95% chance
123
Cost at 95%
$88,560
You'd spend about $20,880 opening boxes for a coin-flip at Sothera, the Supervoid, vs $1,375 to buy it now.
Chase pull rates
Treatment odds from corrected collation. Tap a row for card-level detail.
Chase pull rates
Expected cards per box and the odds of pulling at least one, by Booster Fun treatment. “1 in N” is per box, not a percentage.