Simulated from published collation. Most boxes land below average; chase cards pull the mean up.
The average box ($351) is $56.53 above a typical box ($294) — 16%of the EV comes from above-median outcomes you probably won't see.
Below box cost
96%
lose money on resale
At or above cost
4%
break even or profit
Monte Carlo distribution of total card value per box. Green bars are at or above sealed cost; rose bars are below. EV lands at the 67th percentile — 67% of simulated boxes yield less than the average.
Edge of Eternities collector boosterbox TCG low $720, expected value $351, median box $294, 4% break-even, −51% vs sealed. Methodology · JSON
Daily snapshots after release · box EV vs sealed price
EV +$26.70 (8.2%) · Box +$142 (24.6%) over 3m · ROI −7.3%
Sealed vs singles and pack vs box economics for this set.
Should you buy a sealed box or individual packs? EV per pack is the same either way; the question is what you pay per pack.
The box is the better deal per pack ($60.00 vs $77.48 listing). Still a losing bet on average at −51% return.
Compare chasing a card by opening boxes vs buying it outright at today's price.
You'd spend about $20,880 opening boxes for a coin-flip at Sothera, the Supervoid, vs $1,223 to buy it now.
Treatment odds from corrected collation. Tap a row for card-level detail.
Expected cards per box and the odds of pulling at least one, by Booster Fun treatment. “1 in N” is per box, not a percentage.
| Treatment | Expected / box | P(≥1 / box) | 1 in N boxes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Standard | 120.00 cards | 100.0% | Every time |
| Borderless | 27.90 cards | 100.0% | Every time |
| Extended art | 22.13 cards | 100.0% | Every time |
| Galaxy foil | 5.70 cards | 99.7% | 1 in 2 |
| Showcase | 3.39 cards | 96.6% | 1 in 2 |
| Poster | 0.726 cards | 51.6% | 1 in 2 |
| Fracture foil | 0.121 cards | 11.4% | 1 in 9 |
| Headliner | 0.024 cards | 2.4% | 1 in 42 |
All chase pull rates · Tap a treatment for odds and top cards in this set.
Reference