Simulated from published collation. Most boxes land below average; chase cards pull the mean up.
The average box ($312) is $7.06 above a typical box ($305) — 2%of the EV comes from above-median outcomes you probably won't see.
Below box cost
100%
lose money on resale
At or above cost
0%
break even or profit
Monte Carlo distribution of total card value per box. Green bars are at or above sealed cost; rose bars are below. EV lands at the 53rd percentile — 53% of simulated boxes yield less than the average.
Dominaria Remastered collector boosterbox TCG low $600, expected value $312, median box $305, 0% break-even, −48% vs sealed. Methodology · JSON
Daily snapshots after release · box EV vs sealed price
EV +$6.85 (2.2%) · Box +$110 (22.4%) over 3m · ROI −10.3%
Sealed vs singles and pack vs box economics for this set.
Should you buy a sealed box or individual packs? EV per pack is the same either way; the question is what you pay per pack.
The box is the better deal per pack ($50.00 vs $51.96 listing). Still a losing bet on average at −48% return.
Compare chasing a card by opening boxes vs buying it outright at today's price.
You'd spend about $1,800 opening boxes for a coin-flip at Vampiric Tutor, vs $105 to buy it now.
Treatment odds from corrected collation. Tap a row for card-level detail.
Expected cards per box and the odds of pulling at least one, by Booster Fun treatment. “1 in N” is per box, not a percentage.
| Treatment | Expected / box | P(≥1 / box) | 1 in N boxes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Standard | 161.88 cards | 100.0% | Every time |
| Borderless | 18.12 cards | 100.0% | 1 in 2 |
All chase pull rates · Tap a treatment for odds and top cards in this set.
Reference