RVR·Released Jan 12, 2024·12 packs / box · 15 cards / pack·Prices refreshes every 6 hours
Ravnica Remastered collector booster EV
Verdict
Money pit
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What opening a box looks like
Simulated from published collation. Most boxes land below average; chase cards pull the mean up.
$342
$439
$487
$607
$1,250
Floor (10%)
$342
Typical
$439
Average (EV)
$487
Lucky (90%)
$607
Box price
$1,250
The average box ($487) is $48.59 above a typical box ($439) — 10%of the EV comes from above-median outcomes you probably won't see.
Value distribution
10,000 simulated boxes
Below box cost
98%
lose money on resale
At or above cost
2%
break even or profit
profit zone
Box $1,250
EV $487 · 69th
Median $439
$0$333$667$1,000$1,333$1,667$2,000
Monte Carlo distribution of total card value per box. Green bars are at or above sealed cost; rose bars are below. EV lands at the 69th percentile — 69% of simulated boxes yield less than the average.
Key facts
Ravnica Remastered collector boosterbox TCG low $1,250, expected value $487, median box $439, 2% break-even, −61% vs sealed. Methodology · JSON
FAQ for search & AI citations
What is the expected value of a Ravnica Remastered collector booster box?
The expected value (EV) of a Ravnica Remastered collector booster box is $487 based on Wizards' published collation and current TCGplayer prices. The typical (median) box is worth $439.
What are the odds of breaking even on Ravnica Remastered collector boosters?
About 2% of simulated Ravnica Remastered collector boxes return at least the sealed box price ($1,250). This uses Monte Carlo simulation with corrected MTGJSON collation weights.
Should I crack or hold Ravnica Remastered sealed?
Money pit. EV is $487 vs sealed $1,250 (−61% return if cracked at TCG low). See the crack-vs-hold comparison on this page for singles targets.
EV over time
Daily snapshots after release · box EV vs sealed price
EV +$6.42 (1.3%) · Box +$262 (26.5%) over 3m · ROI −9.7%
Box EV Box price
Should you crack it?
Sealed vs singles and pack vs box economics for this set.
Pack vs box economics
Should you buy a sealed box or individual packs? EV per pack is the same either way; the question is what you pay per pack.
Box price
$1,250
Standalone pack listing
$89.99
Implied pack (box / packs)
$104
EV per pack
$40.62
$487 / box
Return opening box
−61%
Return buying packs at listing
−55%
Standalone packs list at $89.99 vs $104 implied from the box. Packs look cheaper per slot, but EV is still $40.62/pack (−55% return either way).
Buy the single instead?
Compare chasing a card by opening boxes vs buying it outright at today's price.
Single price
$60.86
Pull any copy
1 in 4 (26.0% / box)
Boxes for 50% chance
2
Cost of those boxes
$2,499
Boxes for 95% chance
9
Cost at 95%
$11,247
You'd spend about $2,499 opening boxes for a coin-flip at Watery Grave, vs $60.86 to buy it now.
Chase pull rates
Treatment odds from corrected collation. Tap a row for card-level detail.
Chase pull rates
Expected cards per box and the odds of pulling at least one, by Booster Fun treatment. “1 in N” is per box, not a percentage.