RVR·Released Jan 12, 2024·12 packs / box · 15 cards / pack·Prices refreshes every 6 hours
Ravnica Remastered collector booster EV
Verdict
Money pit
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What opening a box looks like
Simulated from published collation. Most boxes land below average; chase cards pull the mean up.
$335
$430
$479
$597
$1,250
Floor (10%)
$335
Typical
$430
Average (EV)
$479
Lucky (90%)
$597
Box price
$1,250
The average box ($479) is $48.62 above a typical box ($430) — 10%of the EV comes from above-median outcomes you probably won't see.
Value distribution
10,000 simulated boxes
Below box cost
98%
lose money on resale
At or above cost
2%
break even or profit
profit zone
Box $1,250
EV $479
Median $430
$0$333$667$1,000$1,333$1,667$2,000
Monte Carlo distribution of total card value per box. Green bars are at or above sealed cost; rose bars are below.
Key facts
Ravnica Remastered collector boosterbox TCG low $1,250, expected value $479, median box $430, 2% break-even, −62% vs sealed. Methodology · JSON
FAQ for search & AI citations
What is the expected value of a Ravnica Remastered collector booster box?
The expected value (EV) of a Ravnica Remastered collector booster box is $479 based on Wizards' published collation and current TCGplayer prices. The typical (median) box is worth $430.
What are the odds of breaking even on Ravnica Remastered collector boosters?
About 2% of simulated Ravnica Remastered collector boxes return at least the sealed box price ($1,250). This uses Monte Carlo simulation with corrected MTGJSON collation weights.
Should I crack or hold Ravnica Remastered sealed?
Money pit. EV is $479 vs sealed $1,250 (−62% return if cracked at TCG low). See the crack-vs-hold comparison on this page for singles targets.
EV over time
Daily snapshots after release · box EV vs sealed price
EV +$23.57 (5.2%) · Box +$469 (60.1%) over 3m · ROI −20.0%
Box EV Box price
Should you crack it?
Sealed vs singles and pack vs box economics for this set.
Pack vs box economics
Should you buy a sealed box or individual packs? EV per pack is the same either way; the question is what you pay per pack.
Box price
$1,250
Standalone pack listing
$135
Implied pack (box / packs)
$104
EV per pack
$39.88
$479 / box
Return opening box
−62%
Return buying packs at listing
−70%
The box is the better deal per pack ($104 vs $135 listing). Still a losing bet on average at −62% return.
Buy the single instead?
Compare chasing a card by opening boxes vs buying it outright at today's price.
Single price
$52.04
Pull any copy
1 in 4 (26.0% / box)
Boxes for 50% chance
2
Cost of those boxes
$2,500
Boxes for 95% chance
9
Cost at 95%
$11,250
You'd spend about $2,500 opening boxes for a coin-flip at Steam Vents, vs $52.04 to buy it now.
Chase pull rates
Treatment odds from corrected collation. Tap a row for card-level detail.
Chase pull rates
Expected cards per box and the odds of pulling at least one, by Booster Fun treatment. “1 in N” is per box, not a percentage.