EOE·Released Aug 1, 2025·12 packs / box · 15 cards / pack·Prices refreshes every 6 hours
Edge of Eternities collector booster EV
Verdict
Money pit
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What opening a box looks like
Simulated from published collation. Most boxes land below average; chase cards pull the mean up.
$190
$301
$361
$543
$750
Floor (10%)
$190
Typical
$301
Average (EV)
$361
Lucky (90%)
$543
Box price
$750
The average box ($361) is $59.60 above a typical box ($301) — 17%of the EV comes from above-median outcomes you probably won't see.
Value distribution
10,000 simulated boxes
Below box cost
95%
lose money on resale
At or above cost
5%
break even or profit
profit zone
Box $750
EV $361 · 67th
Median $301
$0$200$400$600$800$1,000$1,200
Monte Carlo distribution of total card value per box. Green bars are at or above sealed cost; rose bars are below. EV lands at the 67th percentile — 67% of simulated boxes yield less than the average.
Key facts
Edge of Eternities collector boosterbox TCG low $750, expected value $361, median box $301, 5% break-even, −52% vs sealed. Methodology · JSON
FAQ for search & AI citations
What is the expected value of a Edge of Eternities collector booster box?
The expected value (EV) of a Edge of Eternities collector booster box is $361 based on Wizards' published collation and current TCGplayer prices. The typical (median) box is worth $301.
What are the odds of breaking even on Edge of Eternities collector boosters?
About 5% of simulated Edge of Eternities collector boxes return at least the sealed box price ($750). This uses Monte Carlo simulation with corrected MTGJSON collation weights.
Should I crack or hold Edge of Eternities sealed?
Money pit. EV is $361 vs sealed $750 (−52% return if cracked at TCG low). See the crack-vs-hold comparison on this page for singles targets.
EV over time
Daily snapshots after release · box EV vs sealed price
EV +$40.88 (12.7%) · Box +$175 (30.4%) over 3m · ROI −7.6%
Box EV Box price
Should you crack it?
Sealed vs singles and pack vs box economics for this set.
Pack vs box economics
Should you buy a sealed box or individual packs? EV per pack is the same either way; the question is what you pay per pack.
Box price
$750
Standalone pack listing
$73.86
Implied pack (box / packs)
$62.50
EV per pack
$30.08
$361 / box
Return opening box
−52%
Return buying packs at listing
−59%
The box is the better deal per pack ($62.50 vs $73.86 listing). Still a losing bet on average at −52% return.
Buy the single instead?
Compare chasing a card by opening boxes vs buying it outright at today's price.
Single price
$1,306
Pull any copy
1 in 42 (2.4% / box)
Boxes for 50% chance
29
Cost of those boxes
$21,750
Boxes for 95% chance
123
Cost at 95%
$92,250
You'd spend about $21,750 opening boxes for a coin-flip at Sothera, the Supervoid, vs $1,306 to buy it now.
Chase pull rates
Treatment odds from corrected collation. Tap a row for card-level detail.
Chase pull rates
Expected cards per box and the odds of pulling at least one, by Booster Fun treatment. “1 in N” is per box, not a percentage.