Neon ink pull rates

Neon ink foil treatment on selected chase printings. Across 4 collector booster products, the average expected rate is about 0.062 neon ink cards per box (6% chance of at least one per box, roughly 1 in 17).

Pull rates are computed from MTGJSON collector-booster collation (slot weights and pack configs). Treatment labels (Serialized, Surge foil, etc.) come from Scryfall. We dedupe chase cards duplicated into common showcase sheets and cap serialized-only slots at Wizards' published “<1% per pack” ceiling when multiple numbered cards share one slot. “1 in N boxes” uses a Poisson model: P(at least one per box) = 1 − e−expected. Full methodology.

By set

Click a set for card-level odds and top chase printings.

SetExpected / boxP(≥1 / box)1 in N boxes
Avatar: The Last AirbenderTLA0.054 cards5.3%1 in 19
Final FantasyFIN0.029 cards2.8%1 in 35
The Lost Caverns of IxalanLCI0.084 cards8.1%1 in 12
Kamigawa: Neon DynastyNEO0.081 cards7.7%1 in 13